We’ve always been interested in GAVI, a large funding vehicle for immunizations (which we consider to be one of the best interventions out there for accomplishing good).
Until recently, GAVI projected a need for $3.7 billion between 2011-2015 (archived). However, yesterday there was an announcement that GAVI had raised $4.3 billion, more than enough to cover this need (archived).
In the past, we’ve refrained from recommending GAVI because we have trouble fully understanding its activities, but we’ve been continuing to revisit it and think about how we might gain better understanding. Now we are fairly confident in not recommending GAVI because it appears to have all the funding it needs (which, given its area of focus, we consider very good news).
This situation illustrates one of the trickier room for more funding-related challenges of individual giving. Even if a nonprofit has significant funding needs today, are there big donors right around the corner about to swoop in and render your donation irrelevant?
Before we recommend a charity, we seek as good an understanding as possible of its room for more funding, and this includes asking it about what revenue it expects in the future. This is the best way we know to avoid recommending a charity just before its funding gap is closed by megadonors, but we don’t think this approach is foolproof. We continue to find the issue of room for more funding – and in particular, the possibility of a GAVI-like situation – to be very difficult to deal with.