The GiveWell Blog

Philanthropy strikes back

If you’re here to read the latest update on the GiveWell project, see this post.

There are a lot of possible objections to my last post; to voice them, I’m bringing back our old friend, the Straw Man, for an exclusive interview.

Straw Man: When you say you prefer charity (helping individuals) to philanthropy (addressing root causes), do you mean you ALWAYS prefer short-term to long-term solutions, and that all research/advocacy/outreach programs should be illegal?

Holden: No. But I think there’s value in making charity the default mode, asking for a higher burden of proof before switching to more difficult and ambitious methods. I think most foundations go in the opposite order, jumping straight to “How can we wipe out this problem?” The two examples I gave in my last post seem like really good ones.

Straw Man: But don’t you think that by helping individuals, you’ll be perpetuating the very problems you seek to address??

Holden: How so?

Straw Man: Hang on, I’m still recovering from how cool I sounded just now. OK. There are a couple different arguments that charity perpetuates the very problems it seeks to address. First, the lefty one: by helping people, you’ll give the government an excuse to ignore them.

Holden: Are there any instances in recorded history where a popular social program lost support because of the argument that charity takes care of it? I doubt it, and here’s why. A charity isn’t a reasonable candidate to replace the government until it’s covering all affected parties (which generally is not a possibility, even in the long term) – and until that point, the charity’s successes are just evidence that more of its activities are needed. If a charity addresses 1%-95% of the needy population, and it’s clear that what it’s doing is working and that that 1%-95% is far better off for it, that seems to me like it helps rather than hurts the case for universalizing the program. Anecdotally, I’ve already seen this with NYC education – the state is willing to partner in “experimental” initiatives (small schools, for example) that already have some track record thanks to the voluntary sector.

“This is a great program, it clearly works, it’s clearly good for our society, but we shouldn’t allocate government funding to it because 501(c)(3)’s already have it covered” doesn’t sound like an argument that would fly in an actual political contest (let me know if there are any examples of this happening). It sounds like the kind of argument that people are afraid “other people” will be snookered by.

Straw Man: OK, now the righty argument that charity perpetuates the very problems it seeks to address. By providing people with free health care, education, etc., you remove the incentive for them to pull themselves up by their own bootstraps.

Holden: I don’t think I’ll ever understand where people get the idea that depriving someone of basic needs is a necessary, or appropriate, way to motivate them to work. All of the most driven, entrepreneurial, hard-working people I know have never had to worry about having food, shelter, health care, or education. In fact, most of them have never had to worry about anything much. People want more than they have, period (whether we’re talking about money, meaning, or anything else you get from hard work). So what if food surpluses mean farmers don’t have to grow food anymore? They’ll do something else useful – just like the rest of us who’ve never had to grow food.

Straw Man: But what about sustainability? By providing free medicine, we could be stopping programs that seek to provide cheap medicine. That’s not just a waste of money – it could be stopping people from providing services in much more sustainable, expandable ways.

Holden: This is a real concern. It’s one of many reasons that charity has to be researched carefully and monitored constantly. In fact, I think one of the questions any charity has to ask itself is, “How much can our clients pay for our services?” They should charge as much as possible, until the point where they’d be pricing out people who need help. And they should always be revisiting this question.

That said, leaving people to rot until/unless “the market” solves their problems is irresponsible. There’s no question that there are people out there who need help they can’t afford to pay for, and this fact isn’t going away anytime soon (especially if nobody’s providing them with the things every human needs to become self-supporting). Serving people who need help, while constantly reassessing how much they need it, seems like the only appropriate road to take.

Straw Man: So to sum up: you just like Band-Aids, and you don’t want to see real change in the world.

Holden: First off, every person helped is real change; secondly, I do want to see large-scale change, but I’d rather learn as we go than spend 20 years trying to implement an untried master plan. What I really want to see is a kind of “research” grounded in reality: donors simultaneously helping people and learning how best to help people, by documenting and discussing what they’ve done. This approach – transparent, heavily evaluated, results-oriented charity – can’t solve all our problems or fully replace direct assaults on “root causes,” but it has the potential to build the evidence and knowledge we need for enormous changes, as well as making sure that we’re doing some actual good along the way.

Charity vs. philanthropy

It’s slowly dawned on me that I almost never see the word “charity” on the other blogs in this space, and I rarely see it in foundation literature either. Meanwhile, you’ll almost never see the word “philanthropy” on this blog. For a while, the reason for this was simply that I think “philanthropy” is one of the ugliest words that it’s possible to construct. But I’ve picked up another reason to prefer “charity,” as I’ve discovered why others avoid it. In Sean’s words, “philanthropy [is] the practice of dealing with root causes rather than the derisively referred to ‘charity’ which is ‘just about managing symptoms.’” Put me down for managing symptoms, thanks.

Severe diarrhea kills millions of children a year. When are we going to find a cure?? Um, actually, we have one – in fact, we have several reliable, simple, cheap methods of both treating it (with a packet of nutrients that costs pennies) and preventing it (with water purification tablets, among other things). So may I ask why the Gates Foundation is determined to attack this problem by developing and researching new drugs and treatments?

The Google.org blog reports that polio is nearly eradicated, with under 2000 reported cases. I don’t know anything about polio, but I have to wonder why Google feels that its funds are best spent making a movie to raise awareness about this issue rather than just attacking it head-on. Making a movie isn’t cheap, and competing with Knocked Up for attention isn’t easy; using treatments and methods that have already worked thousands of times is both.

It’s hard for me to say much about what foundations do, what they’re thinking, and whether they’re reasonable, for the usual reason: it’s incredibly hard to get information from them on why they make the choices they make. But my general impression is that they place too much emphasis on “eliminating problems,” rather than on improving human beings’ lives.

When you’re trying to accomplish as much good as possible with your dollar, as in everything else, you have to factor in certainty (the same reason that people buy stocks and CDs instead of just lottery tickets). Of course I’d love to cure cancer or save Darfur, and I’d rather eliminate a disease than save 100 people from it. But as a strategy gets longer-term and gets more moving parts, my confidence in it falls exponentially. And my confidence falls even faster when all I know about a strategy is that it involves “research” (competing with thousands of other causes for the best scientists), “advocacy” (competing for political airtime), or “raising awareness” (good luck if you don’t have Al Gore or Michael Moore in your corner). The burden of proof should be high for a direct-service charity, but it should be 1000x higher for strategies along these lines – no matter how wonderful the goal.

That – not any philosophical opposition to government intervention or anything else – is why I generally prefer my donations to work one person at a time. (That distinguishes me from this fellow, whose argument against “root causes” appears to actually be an argument against large-scale charity.) The chance to truly change the world is, of course, incredibly tempting, and there are times when it’s the right thing to aim for. But it’s also important to remember that the dichotomy between “getting results” and “treating symptoms” is a false one, if improving humans’ lives – not promoting abstractions – is your ultimate goal. Saving a person from starvation – even if makes no dent in the causes of world hunger – is itself a result, and wonderful one.

Go time

A lot has changed since the release of our business plan. Back then, the Clear Fund was an idea; we had a broad sketch of what we expected to do and what we expected it to cost, and we didn’t yet have funding. Now, the Clear Fund is a project with an approved budget and a concrete plan, and we just sent out grant applications. Seems like a good time for an update. Here’s what’s changed:

Our Board of Directors

The Board of Directors had its first full-attendance meeting on June 22. The current Directors are:

Bob Elliott – charter member of GiveWell; third-most devoted charter member behind me and Elie; co-founder of the national nonprofit Global Justice (not eligible for a Clear Fund grant); author of more than one post on this blog.

Virginia Zink – major Clear Fund donor; extremely passionate about our project; background in sales and marketing (desperately needed, as you can tell from the way I write).

Greg Jensen – major Clear Fund donor; co-CIO of the hedge fund where I used to work; my former boss.

Tim Ogden – Chief Knowledge Officer of Geneva Global; blogs Beyond Philanthropy, the only blog I know of exploring how to help people (although the new Google Blog is also promising); may become a competitor in the future (I certainly hope so), so is recused from certain discussions and votes.

Lucy Bernholz – author of Creating Philanthropic Capital Markets; founder of Blueprint Research & Design; you probably know her from Philanthropy 2173.

Holden Karnofsky – former Chicago Bears defensive end; holds NFL single-season sack record.

As a quick aside, we don’t want more than one compensated employee serving on the Board, and I got the nod over Elie. Elie is still slated to work for the Clear Fund full-time starting August 1.

In our meeting, we approved the official set of causes we’re exploring in 2007, and the timeline and budget for our project (see below). I’m currently waiting for some computer-related nonsense, but will soon post the audio recording of our meeting along with all the written materials that accompanied it.

Our causes

After collecting and discussing a breakdown of how many potential applicants do different sorts of activities, we have decided to do fewer – and broader – causes than our original business plan indicates. We have also clarified our descriptions of them to make it as clear as possible what sorts of organizations do and do not qualify. This page now gives the full lowdown on who is eligible; briefly, our five causes are

  1. Help people in Africa avoid death and extreme debilitation.
  2. Help people in Africa become economically self-supporting.
  3. Improve early childhood development for economically disadvantaged, but not special-needs, children in New York City.
  4. Improve academic opportunities for economically disadvantaged, but not special-needs, K-12 children in New York City.
  5. Help disadvantaged adults in New York City become economically self-supporting. “Adults” in this case does not include the elderly, and organizations in this cause must include (though not necessarily focus exclusively on) direct help with finding permanent employment.

Our process and timeline

There are 25-100 eligible (large, relevant, interested) organizations within each cause, and we can’t practically do thorough due diligence on all of them. So we’re conducting our grant application process in two rounds; in round one, we’re asking charities to pick one program that is already well documented and evaluated and send us what they have on it – that’s a time-saving way of seeing which charities are going to be able to demonstrate their effectiveness, without worrying yet about which ones are the most effective. (And based on our experiences last year, we expect that just this criterion – asking that they be able to demonstrate effectiveness – will easily narrow the field.) We’ll use this first-round application to pick about ten charities within each cause; we’ll investigate those more thoroughly, and write up full reviews on about five per cause, giving out one $25,000 grant per cause.

We are aiming to declare the grant winners and have all our reviews up on our website by Thanksgiving – when the media’s thoughts, I predict, will turn to giving.

You can see more on our process and timeline here, and you can see all of the materials that were sent to applicants, including all five first-round applications and a complete run-down of our process, here. It’s a bit dry if you’re not an applicant, but the reason this is such good news is that we now know how many applicants we’re looking at, how many causes we’re doing, and about how much work it’s going to take, and we’re on schedule. Getting to that point took a lot of work, but it’s a much better place to be than where we were in March, with nothing but speculation about how many applicants we’d get and whether Elie and I could handle the load.

Our budget and fundraising

When I post the materials from our Board meeting, they will include the full approved budget. In the meantime, the key points are that (a) based on survey responses, we think that $25,000 per cause will get us a lot of applicants and get us the information we need; (b) once you add in salaries, website costs, and other stuff, we’re looking at a budget in the $240,000 range for 2007; (c) our commitments to donate total $253,000 at this point. That’s obviously fantastic news; it means that to the extent we are fundraising, we can focus on building a donor network for 2008, but more importantly, it means we don’t have to spend all our time fundraising. At this point we can treat our time as being more valuable than money, which is key because we need all the time we have.

So, bear hugs for all the people who stepped up and committed to support us. Building a useful donor resource by December 2007 is absolutely crucial to our chances of getting attention, getting off the ground, and starting to change the way people across the world think about giving. It’s because of your responsiveness and generosity that this is now a feasible goal.

In sum

The parts of our plan that have always seemed most uncertain and out of our control to me (fundraising, setting our scope) are largely behind us, and we’re still on schedule and within our budget. Now it’s a matter of whether Elie and I can communicate well with applicants, make good assessments, write good reviews, and, of course, work our tails off. If we can do that, we can create something that’s never existed before – a website where donors can see (and discuss) every aspect of one of the most difficult and important decisions a privileged person makes: where to give. That, to me, is where the road to solving our biggest problems in a truly collaborative, intelligent way begins.

What’s next

As we wait for grant applications, we’ll be working on:

  • Research. The goal is to learn as much as I possibly can about our five causes, to gain better context for evaluating the apps when they come in. So far, I’ve been shocked at how hard it is to find discussions of things like what the most effective way to fight malaria is, or what is known (even guessed) about improving academic opportunity. If I want to learn about early Irish historical tales, or every answer ever to “Is the mind separate from the body?”, there are people I can talk to, anthologies I can read, courses I can take, whole fields to explore. Figuring how to help the people who need the most help has a literature that (as far as I can tell) is relatively small and scattered all over the place. It’s odd. But rest assured, I’ll share what I find; please share what you have.
  • Recruiting. If you are interested in a demanding, even punishing volunteer assignment that won’t even get you the chance to see cute children, shoot me an email. In August or September, as Round Two of our application process begins, we will start giving out volunteer assignments. We don’t have the whole process outlined yet, but my rough picture is that a volunteer will be sent a charity’s application materials and be charged with writing an intelligent, understandable review that hits the highlights while linking to every detail. Volunteers who do this poorly or simply don’t spend enough time on it will quickly stop volunteering. Volunteers who turn out to be passionate about this work (and good at it) will save us a ton of time and will take on expanding roles.

    Unlike some nonprofits, we don’t offer useless volunteer jobs as a way of getting people to feel good and like us; we are looking for people who can become important to the project. This is ultimately how we’re going to build our staff, both part- and full-time, if the project expands (because people, like time and goodness, can’t simply be bought). If you don’t have the time or the passion and you’d rather just donate a ton of money to us, I understand.

  • Publicity. This is a bit down the line, but we want to make some serious noise come December, so let me know if you have any ideas. Got a friend who works for the Times, or even Deadspin? I’d love to have a talk with them.
  • Website construction. The sketch I have in my head involves fusing Drupal and vBulletin to create a site where every single page has its own full-featured discussion board attached. I’d love to speak to people who know those two apps inside and out, so let me know if you know any.
  • Building the world’s soon-to-be greatest donor network of all time. We’re working on finding people who are both capable of and excited about paying to make the world a better place. Or people who know those people. When we have an awesome proof of concept in December, we need to make sure we have someone to show it to. (If you want to help with this, let me know because there is almost definitely something you can do.)

Whew!

That’s the story. We’ve already publicly posted our application materials, full process description, and eligibility criteria, as well as created a public forum where you’ll hopefully be able to see what our applicants are saying to (and about) us. Still to come (hopefully within the week) are all the materials from our Board meeting, including the minutes and the audio recording as well as our projected budget. We want you to be able to see into any corner of what we’re doing that you care to explore. And if you have any questions, comments, or suggestions – don’t hold back.

Hang in there

I’ve had to be judicious with my online time, but there’s a real post coming later today. Meanwhile, I just have to point out this ludicrous example of the “We can never ever take even the tiniest risk of keeping a penny away from a charity, no matter what they’re doing with it” mentality. UK site Intelligent Giving, a third-party evaluator that I generally think is fantastic (I wish we had something like it here in the U.S.), found out that the Wallace & Gromit’s Children Foundation did not give away a penny of its funding last year – but sat on the story so as not to discourage people from giving to it.

Read the post and try to figure out their reasoning. They want charities to be accountable, but they never want to risk hurting a charity’s fundraising appeal. Well, those two are incompatible. Period. You have to choose. Part of putting pressure on charities to do a good job is withholding money when they don’t.

And it’s worth it. In all other spheres, we can recognize that cutting your budget in half while making it better spent can result in a better job done. In the nonprofit sector, a third-party evaluator is afraid to disclose that a charity is doing nothing with its funds, because it might result in less funds. Talk about overvaluing money.

Competition is important

My experience with Time Warner Cable has always been good in the past, but then, I’ve always lived in areas where DSL is also available.

Now, I’ve apparently moved into an area where they are the only option – and the difference is amazing and immediate. They miss appointments. They ignore complaints. They don’t fix things that are broken and they’re content to let their customers rot. I’ll spare you the details, but chalk up one more for the case that if you want someone to do a good job with anything, your best bet is to get them competing against someone else.

This is a long way of telling you that my Internet access is sporadic today and I can’t promise a full blog post. The one coming up is a good one – a real update on our project – and it’ll be here within the next few days.

Meanwhile, one micro-rant to hold you over. When I see someone who normally only criticizes charities open a post with “I come today not to bury a charity, but to praise one,” I get excited. I think I’m going to read about someone with a brilliant method for helping people. When, instead, I read about yet another innovative fundraising technique … with no mention of the charity’s activities … and I remember that in my search through the philanthropy blogosphere, I’ve find one blog that discusses how to help people and 14,000 that discuss how to raise money … I’m not happy. It seems clear to me that in the current state of things, charities compete all right – just on the wrong terms.

More or less pie?

An objection to our project that I get occasionally goes something like this: sure, it would be great if people really understood the complexities involved in helping people and gave accordingly – but aren’t we worried that revealing these complexities will just make them want to give less? What happens when people learn that charity in Africa is more complicated than “5 cents saves a life,” that charity in the US is more complicated than “Check it out, an adorable child,” and finding a low Straw Ratio isn’t the same thing as finding the best use of your donation?

Well, let’s break it down. If we succeed in creating a public dialogue about how best to help people, and a website where any donor can get a picture of what charities do and whether it works, there will be some ways in which this might make the pie bigger (more total giving) and others in which it might make the pie smaller (less).

Pie bigger: some donors are too analytical for traditional fundraising to work on them; the only way they can have confidence in something is if they have real information. As I argued here, giving them that information is key to getting them to give.

Pie bigger: some donors simply do not know where to start. That’s the boat I was in when I started GiveWell, and it took seconds to find like-minded people. As I argued here, there’s a world of difference between a resource that gives a “checkup” on thousands of charities and one that gives them a fully thought out decision to start playing with.

Pie bigger: controversy and conflict aren’t always a bad thing. As I argued here, bringing out the complexity and difficulty of charity means turning it into something challenging and engaging, rather than sweet and boring.

Pie smaller: some donors honestly believe that the charities they donate to – unlike every organization in the world – have never made a debatable choice or (heavens forbid) a mistake. As soon as they get wind, it’s less charity and bigger houses for them.

Pie smaller: some donors don’t want to be bothered with the details. Giving them a lot of information will overwhelm them, and they’ll give up before they can ever get out their credit cards.

So it could go either way, in theory. A couple things, though.

First off, the balance is tilted quite a bit by the simple fact of life that people seek out what interests them. We all know how people behave when they don’t want to think too hard about their vote: they just vote, straight-ticket, and ignore all the debates and analysis going on around them. In the end, donors who either don’t recognize or don’t want to understand the complexity in charity will just ignore us, and listen to the fundraisers. That’s extremely easy to do – much easier than doing things our way. (If it ever isn’t, that means we must have gotten really big.) By the time someone reads our research, they’re already expressing (a) an active interest in giving (b) a willingness to put effort into understanding the whole story. It’s hard to do that while fitting the profile of someone who quits in the face of imperfection or complexity. Bottom line, it seems pretty farfetched to think that we’ll reach more people who don’t care about what we’re doing than people who do care.

Secondly, it doesn’t just matter how big the pie is, it matters what’s in it. The donors we’re in danger of “pushing out” (again, I find it hard to believe they will even be aware of us) are the least intelligent and/or least engaged ones. The donations we’re in danger of eliminating are the ones that are floating about almost at random, to whatever charity says “We’re perfect” first. Meanwhile, the donors we hope to bring in are the ones who care enough to want to put in some extra time and figure out how to do as much good as possible. They’re the ones who can contribute to the dialogue, and they’ll probably be contributing more money as well. Contrary to what you may have heard, there are worse things than a smaller pie. Like a half-baked one.

(To those of you who saw that ending coming 5 paragraphs ago, I apologize. The marketing dept made me do it.)